Mega space race now fuels debate on climate change

When a SpaceX Falcon Heavy blasts off on a plume of white smoke, hot gases shoot out of its 27 engines, creating a thrust equal to 18 Boeing 747 aircraft. Upon reaching orbit, the world’s heaviest operational rocket will have burnt about 400 metric tonnes of kerosene and emitted more carbon-dioxide in a few minutes than an average car would in more than two centuries. That kind of shock to the atmosphere is stoking concerns about the impact that launching into orbit has on Earth, and it’s about to get worse.

Fuelled by surging data transmissions and the race for commercial space flights between Elon Musk’s Space Exploration Technologies Corp., Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin LLC and Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc., the number of launches — including giants like the Falcon Heavy and new mini-rockets — are expected to increase tenfold to roughly 1,000 annually in the coming years.
While there are no regulations on rocket emissions, a new generation of space pioneers are taking it upon themselves to develop launchers to make leaving the atmosphere less damaging to the planet. It’s less space cowboy and more space boy scout.
“Climate change is real, and we don’t want to make it worse,” said Chris Larmour, chief executive officer of British rocket maker Orbex. The startup, founded in 2015 which has a contract to US launch integrator TriSept Corp., uses bio-propane that it claims can cut CO2 emissions by 90% compared to traditional launch fuel.
Besides greenhouse-gas pollution, kerosene-fuelled rockets transport large amounts of Black Carbon, also known as soot, into the upper layers of the atmosphere. There, it remains for a long time, creating an umbrella that may add to global warming. The fuel is widely used because it’s easier to handle than fuels like hydrogen.
“So far the only criteria for everyone to build rockets was performance and cost,” Jean-Marc Astorg, director for launch vehicles at French space agency CNES. “Environment was not a priority at all. That’s changing.”
The urgency to clean up rocket emissions is intensifying. Last year, the space industry launched 443 satellites, more than three times as many as a decade earlier, according to the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs. Planned missions to Moon and Mars will increase the strain on the environment.
SpaceX alone is planning to launch 12,000 satellites in the next seven years for its Starlink internet constellation. The company is developing the methane-powered Raptor engine, burning the greenhouse gas with a view to refueling on Mars. Blue Origin’s strategy is potentially more environmentally friendly, with plans for liquid hydrogen to propel its reusable rockets.
Virgin Galactic says its plans represent a “new age of clean and sustainable access to space.” The company relies on light-weight spaceships that can fly hundreds of times to mitigate its environmental impact and says its rockets burn for only 60 seconds. The carbon footprint for passengers will be in line with a transatlantic business-class seat, it says. ArianeGroup is going a step further. Europe’s biggest launch company is working on a rocket that aims to be carbon-neutral by running on methane produced from biomass. Dubbed Ariane Next, the heavy-launcher project targets lift off in 2030.
“The rest of the world is lagging Europe so far on the environment performance of their future engines and launchers,” said Astorg.
Smaller challengers such as Orbex are moving quickly. The company, which is funded by a mix of venture capital and public funds, plans to have its “Prime” rocket take its maiden flight at the end of 2021. In addition to cutting CO2, the rocket will completely avoid Black Carbon, which is a “much bigger climate problem,” Larmour said.
Reducing soot and CO2 by 25% to 40% is more realistic, according to Daniel Metzler, the CEO of the German rocket startup ISAR Aerospace, founded in 2018. His rocket — also scheduled to lift off in late 2021 — will decrease soot pollution by using a liquid fuel based on a light hydrocarbon, Metzler said, declining to provide specifics. Such aggressive reductions in soot cause design and production challenges, because the fuel residue has the positive side effect of protecting the inner surface of the combustion chamber against heat, according to the 27-year-old engineer. ISAR addresses the problem by guiding the inflowing fuel through a system of channels to cool the engine. Like Orbex, the company relies on 3D printers to create the complex structures.
Rocket Factory Augsburg (RFA), a unit of German satellite maker OHB SE, took environmental issues into account from the start in developing its “mini-launcher,” an emerging trend in the aerospace industry. The rocket — developed for transporting small satellites and scheduled to perform its maiden flight next year — is using a new environmentally friendly propellant.
Joern Spurmann, RFA program manager, sums up the new approach to the space race, saying: “We’re following the boy-scout rule that says: leave the camp ground cleaner than you found it.”

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